Comments on: Election Wrap-Up https://www.byronpropertysearch.com.au/election-wrap-up/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=election-wrap-up Fri, 09 May 2025 23:54:58 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.7 By: Michael Murray https://www.byronpropertysearch.com.au/election-wrap-up/#comment-9717 Fri, 09 May 2025 23:54:58 +0000 https://www.byronpropertysearch.com.au/?p=5694#comment-9717 In reply to Mitra.

Yes Mitra, I understand the science and the maths maynot always play out that way. I think I was just having a wander down the possibilities if Mandy ran as an Independent. There are certainly too many moving parts to be predictive. But the Nats did come in third on primaries. Yes there’s and the fasr right minor partoes would prpobably still not preference her. BUt if she ran as an independent shwo should be able to do a preference deal where she gets a placing higher than labour on the HTV card. Therefore I thought 60% who would preference her is not out of the question and then she is in with a chance.
Thanks for input Michael

]]> By: Mitra https://www.byronpropertysearch.com.au/election-wrap-up/#comment-9677 Thu, 08 May 2025 00:40:06 +0000 https://www.byronpropertysearch.com.au/?p=5694#comment-9677 And …. your analysis of how it might have gone different with Mandy as an independent makes no sense. … apart from the fact that Nat votes would know she was a green and preference ALP, more important is that Nats aren’t going to finish third, once the far right/cooker preferences of 16% are allocated mostly to the Nats they end up around high 30’s percentage putting them above ALP / Mandy. (first place in 3-party) with final winner always depending on which of Mandy or ALP get less.

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